This time last year, my knowledge of what the future held was dubious at best, but I was certain of one thing: Anora was going to win Best Picture. Having swept key precursors like the Directors and Producers Guild Awards, indie darling turned industry superstar Sean Baker’s name was as good as stamped on that most coveted of Academy Awards. But this year, the Oscars race is as unpredictable as everything else in the world.
Let’s start with Best Picture. Although Paul Thomas Anderson’s revolutionary epic One Battle After Another has seemed to be hurtling, unabated, toward the prize all season, a last-minute Sinners surge is threatening to lap Anderson’s frontrunning film. Ryan Coogler’s historical musical has been unexpectedly picking up key awards at the tail end of the season—supporting actress Wunmi Mosaku won a BAFTA, and both lead actor Michael B. Jordan and the film’s ensemble scooped up surprise wins at the Actor Awards. Tack those wins on top of the film’s near-certain Best Original Screenplay Oscar (and the fact that Sinners is, by far, the most-nominated film in Oscars history), and you’ve got a serious contender…read more.
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